Jan. 14, 2024
LM#43--Will The GOP Commit Political Suicide?
FAN MAIL--We would love YOUR feedback--Send us a Text Message Explore the seismic shifts poised to redefine the Republican Party as we dissect the battle between Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis on the brink of the Iowa caucuses. We promise to equip you with a profound understanding of the undercurrents shaping the GOP's trajectory towards the 2024 Presidential showdown. From Trump's economic legacy to DeSantis' growing influence, we navigate the tumultuous waters of immigration reform, heal...
FAN MAIL--We would love YOUR feedback--Send us a Text Message
Explore the seismic shifts poised to redefine the Republican Party as we dissect the battle between Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis on the brink of the Iowa caucuses.
We promise to equip you with a profound understanding of the undercurrents shaping the GOP's trajectory towards the 2024 Presidential showdown.
From Trump's economic legacy to DeSantis' growing influence, we navigate the tumultuous waters of immigration reform, healthcare challenges, and the COVID-19 response, analyzing both the triumphs and the shortcomings.
MEMBERs ONLY--Join us for an exclusive look at how DeSantis' positions stack up against the iconic Ronald Reagan on five key issues. You will be surprised at those results!
Key Points from the Episode:
- Prepare for an engaging Twitter of Robert Salvador, a technologist whose innovative use of AI and big data is transforming the landscape of political polling.
- We'll uncover the true measure of Trump's effect on the party, spotlighting the critical decisions that swayed the fate of essential policies.
- As we contrast the enigmatic leadership styles of Trump and DeSantis, let's peer into the crystal ball of GOP politics to envisage what could be a pivotal moment in determining America's political future.
- David makes a prediction on who will win the Iowa caucuses!
Don't miss this riveting analysis packed with expert opinion and forward-thinking perspectives.
Choose well Iowa!
###
Other resources:
Update at 7:27am on Jan 15th--
The Robert Salvador poll was released overnight on Jan 14th mentioned in this podcast, here are its final results:
Trump 38%
DeSantis 35%
Haley 14%
Ramaswamy 13%
Sentiment trend:
Trump: falling
DeSantis: rising
Haley: falling
Ramaswamy: rising
N= 500 (70% Republican, 30% Independent)
click on the link for more details and to follow Robert on X
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00:02 - Analysis of GOP's Political Suicide
19:34 - Trump vs. DeSantis
WEBVTT
00:00:02.863 --> 00:00:09.573
Will the GOP in the next 24 hours commit political suicide?
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All eyes turn to Iowa tomorrow, january 15th, for its caucuses.
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Let's talk about it on this Liberty Minute.
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Welcome to the Theory to Action podcast, where we examine the timeless treasures of wisdom from the great books in less time, to help you take action immediately and ultimately to create and lead a flourishing life.
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Now here's your host, David Kaiser.
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Hello, I am David and welcome back to another Liberty Minute.
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It's going to be somewhat long Liberty Minute, and so I ask you to hang in there with me.
00:00:51.731 --> 00:01:23.947
This has been a passion of mine over the last year or so, so I want to give you my best analysis, but the political season is upon us and finally, finally, we have votes that will actually happen, no longer polls, we have actual votes on the record, and so, to give you my best analysis on this Liberty Minute, with the Iowa caucuses just 24 hours away, we're going to answer three pivotal questions.
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Number one can Donald Trump win in November 2024?
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Number two does Florida Governor Ron DeSantis have a better record at leading on the major issues, and is there one particular issue where former President Trump failed miserably and where Florida Governor Ron DeSantis should be given the nod because of his leadership on that pivotal issue?
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So three questions we will dive into deeply and try to answer Now.
00:02:02.019 --> 00:02:30.110
Before we do that, just a little shout out to our members here at Tombow Joe Academy Members, you will have in the next hour or so, once it's done uploading, you will have a special edition, a part two of this Liberty Minute where we actually dive into comparing Florida Governor Ron DeSantis to California Governor Ronald Reagan, which is a fascinating topic.
00:02:30.110 --> 00:02:48.366
Cover him on all the five major issues, both Governor Reagan and Governor DeSantis, then you will be surprised, very surprised, how Florida Governor Ron DeSantis stacks up to the conservative darling Ronald Reagan.
00:02:49.788 --> 00:02:58.308
But for now we'll turn to our first question can Donald Trump win in November 2024?
00:02:58.308 --> 00:03:04.633
And let's first talk about this polling that we have been subjected to for the last six months.
00:03:04.633 --> 00:03:17.663
So if we turn to the real clear politics average, we see that Donald Trump is plus 33%.
00:03:17.663 --> 00:03:20.468
He is 52.5.
00:03:20.468 --> 00:03:33.493
Haley is this is the RCP average for the week of 1-5 to 1-13, the final real clear politics average going into tomorrow's vote, excuse me.
00:03:33.493 --> 00:03:37.921
So Trump has an average of 52.5.
00:03:37.921 --> 00:03:40.206
Haley at 18.7.
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Desantis at 15.5.
00:03:42.151 --> 00:03:45.135
Rama Swami at 6.5.
00:03:45.135 --> 00:03:46.338
Christie at 3.5.
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And Hutchison at 0.8.
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So Trump has a spread on the average of 33.8 points.
00:03:53.209 --> 00:03:59.747
He's been that way ever since being indicted, way back in March of 2023.
00:03:59.747 --> 00:04:05.864
And that lead has extended all the way through the summer, into the fall and now into January.
00:04:05.864 --> 00:04:13.659
So I say all that to give us context about these major polls.
00:04:13.719 --> 00:04:18.269
Now we all know that polls can vary in efficacy.
00:04:18.269 --> 00:04:26.105
We've all seen the polls that said, trump couldn't win in 2016 and he pulled off an upset.
00:04:26.105 --> 00:04:28.730
So polls are what they are.
00:04:28.730 --> 00:04:29.752
They're a snapshot.
00:04:29.752 --> 00:04:49.213
Some are good, some are bad, but I want to bring to your attention an interesting guy who I've come across in the last four months here, and I've started to follow him on Twitter or X or whatever we're calling it.
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Gentleman's name is Robert Salvador, and I'm just going to read a tweet of his that he posted, because it sums up everything he's been doing for the last six months.
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Tweet on January 2nd 2024.
00:05:05.206 --> 00:05:07.935
So it says put your money where your mouth is.
00:05:07.935 --> 00:05:09.740
Poll gate is real.
00:05:09.740 --> 00:05:21.360
I posted many polls showing how inaccurate, misrepresented or insufficient and, in effect, of the data is in almost every mainstream, with almost every mainstream pollster.
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Haters said if you are so sure, put your money where your mouth is and create a poll.
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So I am.
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Today, I announce we're releasing the first ever AI, creativepole artificial intelligence.
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The poll will use AI automation and big data to generalize preferences and make a guess on a person's voting habits, based off an algorithm and other technical tools.
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Why is this better?
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And here's where it got compelling Simple.
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There's a reason.
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Amazon Prime knows your buying habits better than anyone, even yourself.
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Log in and watch it.
00:06:02.702 --> 00:06:04.307
Tell you everything you like in life.
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Big data and things like AI and ML I don't know what that is can crunch data and make better assumptions than biased pay to play non-mathematically sound polls.
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It's like moneyball in sports.
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There's a reason every major sports coach uses data to plan their strategy in 2023.
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On January 7th, we will release our first ever poll.
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It will be 100% data driven and transparent the first ever AI driven poll.
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On January 14th, we will release another AI driven, but a hybrid that cross-references with standard polling methods.
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A few important notes this is not a counter poll for DeSantis.
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While it seems DeSantis is certainly undersampled by mainstream polls, we will release our poll, whether it shows him at 55%, 35% or 15%.
00:07:03.011 --> 00:07:04.846
The goal is transparency and accuracy.
00:07:04.846 --> 00:07:21.923
This is done by a team of technologists DeSantis's supporters, but not the campaign or the pack or any related groups to them and some of the biggest brass and influencers in the Republican party are supporting and partnering on this.
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More info to come.
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Pollsters, you are on notice.
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Better tech is going to disrupt you, excuse me, so I just found that super compelling.
00:07:34.807 --> 00:07:42.788
So then I waited and we got the January 7th poll that Robert Salvador promised us.
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This is the first AI data and tech driven poll.
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It was conducted one on January 1st through January 7th.
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It has Trump at 40%, desantis at 34%, haley at 16, ramaswamy at 10, christie less than three.
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Sentiment and activity trend Trump is falling, desantis is rising, haley is falling, ramaswamy is rising, christie is neutral.
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The tradition sample is the number is 1,000 with a margin of error of 5%.
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Register voters Republican 50%, independence 50%.
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And I believe they were using Republican 50%, independent 50% because the digital sample calculation in the thread below Okay, I believe they did not include.
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Democrats are able to vote in the Iowa caucuses.
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They can switch their vote that night and vote so they can throw off a sampling.
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But I believe they were anticipating the weather and they figured that very little Democrats will come out, no matter who they were gonna vote for or who they were gonna try and manipulate.
00:09:10.019 --> 00:09:26.767
So that's a long way around the mountain to say I'm not sure that the mainstream media is gonna come out of this not unscathed by their polling that has Trump up plus 32 or 33, whatever it was the spread.
00:09:26.767 --> 00:09:38.114
If this AI first driven poll comes out, trump 40%, desantis 34% that's gonna be a big deal.
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That's gonna be such a big deal because Trump will have not crested 50, desantis will have been plus I think the mainstream media has him at 15%.
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That will have him plus 20% and that will show a closing, a vast closing.
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So, as they say in horse races, hold your tickets.
00:10:07.419 --> 00:10:10.447
Not sure how this was gonna end.
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Maybe this guy's completely wet, not sure.
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First, ai driven poll.
00:10:14.664 --> 00:10:19.548
I thought it was compelling, and I have heard this guy give some interviews.
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He made a compelling case and much of his case was that, similar to the way the death rates for COVID were being manipulated by all the hospital systems to get more money and to scare policy makers into more draconian excuse me, more draconian shutdowns, same thing is happening with a push polling and to give you another example of how this is happening.
00:10:52.210 --> 00:11:04.187
I just checked Robert Salvador's Twitter feed and, wouldn't you know, he actually predicted something that is coming true as we speak.
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Let me grab my phone.
00:11:06.226 --> 00:11:17.567
Oh, as an aside, this is breaking news, but just goes to show you what the former president's character is like.
00:11:17.567 --> 00:11:30.267
I did not vote for him in 2016, I figured he did not have a record to run on, and I voted for the former president in 2020 because he did have a record to run on.
00:11:30.267 --> 00:11:41.591
I'm hoping to not vote for him again because I believe it's political suicide, which is the reason why we're putting out this podcast.
00:11:41.759 --> 00:11:56.873
But Donald Trump, just now to a group of people, uh, in Indonola, iowa.
00:11:56.873 --> 00:12:00.634
He was holding a rally in Indonola, iowa.
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He comes out on a hun unhinged tirade against the very popular conservative governor, kim Reynolds, because she endorsed Ron DeSantis, comes out and says I don't ever want to see you on my campaign again.
00:12:16.755 --> 00:12:26.014
Trump claims he told Reynolds earlier this year that simply appearing with other presidential candidates was not welcomed.
00:12:26.014 --> 00:12:40.989
So Donald Trump, going a wall on the popular governor from Iowa, okay, getting back to the.
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Getting back to the Robert Salvador tweet that he predicted.
00:12:45.490 --> 00:12:54.826
Just to set some context about this is the General election.
00:12:54.846 --> 00:12:57.854
Matchups have always had the mainstream media.
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All their polling had always been favorable to Trump.
00:13:02.734 --> 00:13:28.991
Since March, many people started to explain this as a psychological operation that they were pushing Trump Almost the same way they did with January 6th, to make it almost an entrapment, which Many on the right believe that it was, with over 200 federal officials Within the crowd, manipulating that crowd, opening up doors into the Capitol.
00:13:28.991 --> 00:13:38.065
So what was the Democrats claim was an insurrection, really was a mob that was pushed and prodded by federal officials.
00:13:38.065 --> 00:13:40.490
So hopefully we'll get the truth to come out on that.
00:13:40.490 --> 00:13:56.335
But getting back to this polling, the mainstream media Push polling on the general election matchup between Trump and Biden always has had Trump beating Biden anywhere from 2 to 7 percent.
00:13:56.335 --> 00:14:06.335
Right now, the real clear politics average, trump is up by 1.1 percent on the real clear politics average.
00:14:06.335 --> 00:14:10.825
This is the general act, a general election matchup between Trump and Biden.
00:14:12.688 --> 00:14:28.359
So what Robert Salvador has been predicting is, once Iowa was over, that the mainstream media would flip on Trump and then they would start to say that Biden would beat Trump drastically.
00:14:28.359 --> 00:14:31.092
And wouldn't you know?
00:14:31.092 --> 00:14:40.178
Just six hours ago, national poll, general election among voters 18 to 29.
00:14:40.178 --> 00:14:50.706
Biden 62%, trump 35% plus 27 Increase.
00:14:50.706 --> 00:14:56.254
Now the total overall poll has.
00:14:56.254 --> 00:14:58.609
Wait for it.
00:14:58.609 --> 00:14:59.633
Wait for it.
00:14:59.633 --> 00:15:10.149
Okay, the general election poll has Trump up plus two, which is still in line with what they have been doing.
00:15:10.149 --> 00:15:16.750
Oh, here's another interesting anecdote Trump is still up plus 11 among independence.
00:15:16.750 --> 00:15:32.855
So it looks like, if we can actually believe these polls and they're not psychological operations that Trump is still getting pushed some, especially with independence.
00:15:32.855 --> 00:15:43.948
But the flipping is starting to happen among the young folks when Wait for it?
00:15:43.948 --> 00:15:52.534
Biden is up 27 percent among voters 18 to 29.
00:15:52.534 --> 00:15:54.879
Trump is still up plus two.
00:15:54.879 --> 00:16:06.753
But and even in that general election poll they had broken down Michigan as one of the targets and by naturally 45%, trump 41%.
00:16:07.566 --> 00:16:15.394
So I say all that that can Trump win in a general election?
00:16:15.394 --> 00:16:16.716
I say heavens know.
00:16:16.716 --> 00:16:21.035
Trump's highest ceiling he ever got was 46%.
00:16:21.035 --> 00:16:34.417
You got that in 2016 and and with that 46% he barely carried five to six states, and 2020 his percentage was 46.8%.
00:16:34.417 --> 00:16:40.534
So the best case scenario is Roughly 46 to 47%.
00:16:40.534 --> 00:16:45.113
Then, if you go state by state, the math gets even harder and worse for Trump.
00:16:45.113 --> 00:16:54.465
Plus, you throw in four legal lawsuits, not to mention all the shenanigans that happened in the 2020 election, in which Trump can't win that argument.
00:16:55.125 --> 00:17:04.449
If it comes to that, if he has to get into a legal battle over the 2024 election being stolen, nobody's gonna believe him.
00:17:04.449 --> 00:17:25.853
Even if he's right, everyone, including half of his own base, wouldn't get behind him to fight those legal battles in 2020, or to even have another January 6th moment where we could challenge the election, and Would that be another federal entrapment scheme?
00:17:25.853 --> 00:17:26.414
Probably.
00:17:26.414 --> 00:17:30.493
So Trump's baggage is very heavy, very heavy.
00:17:30.493 --> 00:17:36.257
His age doesn't help him and the fact that he would be a lame duck president right out of the gate doesn't help him.
00:17:36.257 --> 00:17:46.530
Now, if the GOP faithful and I would do choose Trump again, I Believe it would be Geo plea, geo P political suicide.
00:17:46.530 --> 00:17:48.472
It's the worst decision they can make.
00:17:48.472 --> 00:17:51.917
Now.
00:17:51.917 --> 00:17:55.955
Most of Trump's voters are saying DeSantis should wait His day.
00:17:55.955 --> 00:17:57.781
He shouldn't have run in 2024.
00:17:57.781 --> 00:18:05.306
And honestly, to counter that I say there might not be a country to save by 2028.
00:18:06.954 --> 00:18:18.659
Joe Biden and the radical Democrats are hell bent on changing the country forever and I believe that Joe Biden is so seen now that he wants to do everything that Barack Obama couldn't do.
00:18:18.659 --> 00:18:22.782
They both want to radically change America forever.
00:18:22.782 --> 00:18:58.146
If you want to dig into more of why, I believe that you can read a great book by David Horowitz not Daniel Horowitz, different guy, david Horowitz by the name of the final battle, all about how, once Democrats, if they can steal the 2024 election, once they get past that and they get the presidency and the House and the Senate, they can absolutely codify everything so that we will become a one party state, much like California.
00:18:58.146 --> 00:19:01.744
Yes, there's Republicans and conservatives in California.
00:19:01.744 --> 00:19:02.657
Yes, they vote.
00:19:02.657 --> 00:19:04.477
Maybe they vote counts, maybe it doesn't.
00:19:04.477 --> 00:19:06.278
Nobody can validate that.
00:19:06.278 --> 00:19:09.303
And it's 60 to 40.
00:19:09.303 --> 00:19:12.362
They never stand a chance to ever win an election ever again.
00:19:12.362 --> 00:19:17.701
Radical Democrats want that to be the United States of America nationwide.
00:19:17.701 --> 00:19:27.863
So with that, our next question does Florida Governor Ron DeSantis have a better record of leading on the major issues of our time?
00:19:27.863 --> 00:19:33.665
Yes, trump did some good things.
00:19:34.689 --> 00:19:39.000
Not going to disparage the former president, but on the issues it's a mixed bag.
00:19:39.000 --> 00:19:45.105
I think he was an average GOP president, but he was not the next thing to Ronald Reagan.
00:19:45.105 --> 00:19:47.700
The economy was somewhat good.
00:19:47.700 --> 00:19:50.280
Everyone says the economy was going gangbusters.
00:19:50.280 --> 00:19:53.781
Here's the data on the economy.
00:19:53.781 --> 00:19:57.243
Here's GOP percentages, year by year.
00:19:57.243 --> 00:20:02.586
We'll start with 2016, obama's last year, to give you some context.
00:20:02.586 --> 00:20:10.640
Gdp, gross domestic product percentage 1.7 growth rate Not very good.
00:20:10.640 --> 00:20:14.463
If you're not above 2%, it's terrible.
00:20:14.463 --> 00:20:22.067
2017, trump's first year edged up to 2.4%.
00:20:22.067 --> 00:20:33.503
Okay, it's off to a good start, better than Obama, thankfully, but not the 3% that Trump promised, certainly not the 4% that Reagan got by his third year.
00:20:33.503 --> 00:20:41.486
But this was only Trump's first year, so, and actually Obama never reached 3% for his full eight years.
00:20:41.486 --> 00:20:43.641
That's how bad Obama's economy was.
00:20:43.641 --> 00:20:57.766
So anything above Obama's economy on the average we thought was doing good and it was by 2018, trump hits 2.9%.
00:20:57.766 --> 00:21:01.384
So now the economy is starting to rev up.
00:21:02.075 --> 00:21:04.923
Tax cuts were enacted in 2018.
00:21:04.923 --> 00:21:15.865
They started to kick in, started to pay off, but then, 2019, it drops down to 2.3%.
00:21:15.865 --> 00:21:30.444
And many people have speculated that Trump's tariffs on China counteracted the great tax cuts that he led on and that significantly slowed growth.
00:21:30.444 --> 00:21:39.146
We actually haven't had that much digging in to why the economy slowed down in 2019.
00:21:39.146 --> 00:21:39.627
Why?
00:21:39.627 --> 00:21:46.506
Because in January, february and March of 2020, the whole bottom came out.
00:21:46.506 --> 00:21:52.405
So today, that speaks of a much different economy.
00:21:53.215 --> 00:21:55.202
Again, trump did some good things on the economy.
00:21:55.202 --> 00:21:59.585
He was drilling for oil and there was no rejection of fossil fuels.
00:21:59.585 --> 00:22:00.657
That's a good thing.
00:22:00.657 --> 00:22:04.219
So what about immigration?
00:22:04.219 --> 00:22:07.262
Trump said he was going to build the wall, make Mexico pay for it.
00:22:07.262 --> 00:22:08.498
Did he build the wall?
00:22:08.498 --> 00:22:14.023
Kind of, it's half built right now, but no, mexico didn't pay for it.
00:22:14.023 --> 00:22:29.765
Now Trump says there's no way to make Mexico pay for it, but others say he didn't have the courage to tax remittances of many illegals that wire money back to their families in Mexico and other foreign countries.
00:22:30.515 --> 00:22:32.862
Desantis would say he would do this.
00:22:32.862 --> 00:22:36.180
Trump could have done it, but he didn't.
00:22:36.180 --> 00:22:53.842
Trump signed the Remain in Mexico Executive Order, which is good, but then he wouldn't lead on this issue, even though he campaigned on it, and instead he went along with, of all people, paul Ryan and the Wall Street Journal in the Chamber of Commerce and said you need an amnesty bill.
00:22:53.842 --> 00:22:57.884
He could have lit lit led on the immigration issue.
00:22:57.884 --> 00:23:00.642
In fact, he campaigned on it.
00:23:00.642 --> 00:23:07.826
He could have signed the Executive Order ending birthright citizenship, but he didn't do that either.
00:23:07.826 --> 00:23:19.856
Now the Freedom Caucus, which Ron DeSantis helped to found when he was in Congress, had staked out a position on immigration that said we need far less amnesty and far more security.
00:23:19.856 --> 00:23:28.953
This would have been the right thing to do, but the former president didn't do it, nope.
00:23:29.035 --> 00:23:29.939
So what about spending?
00:23:29.939 --> 00:23:38.402
Trump campaigned against wasteful spending, saying he could make a deal, he'd be the greatest dealmaker ever.
00:23:38.402 --> 00:23:41.259
And what did he actually do?
00:23:41.259 --> 00:23:49.685
He signed not one, not two, but 12 continuing resolutions.
00:23:49.685 --> 00:23:56.526
He could have fought for spending for his wall that Mexico was supposed to pay for.
00:23:56.526 --> 00:23:58.960
He could have fought for spending for that.
00:23:58.960 --> 00:24:00.798
He didn't even do that.
00:24:00.798 --> 00:24:03.621
He let Congress get away with it.
00:24:05.474 --> 00:24:06.940
What about healthcare and Obamacare?
00:24:06.940 --> 00:24:13.557
Trump could have fought against John McCain and Paul Ryan, who were caving in to the Democrats at the time.
00:24:13.557 --> 00:24:18.846
He could have led as president with the bully pulpit and helped to repeal Obamacare.
00:24:18.846 --> 00:24:23.018
He didn't do that, and catastrophically.
00:24:23.018 --> 00:24:25.003
What about COVID-19?
00:24:25.003 --> 00:24:26.438
He could have led in this area.
00:24:26.438 --> 00:24:32.704
He had the same research and we have documented it well from this microphone.
00:24:32.704 --> 00:24:39.721
He had Scott Atlas in the Oval Office and Scott was telling him that Berks and Fauci were not telling him the truth.
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That was in the summer of 2020.
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Trump should have fired Fauci by August of 2020.
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He didn't.
00:24:46.766 --> 00:24:52.143
He allowed Fauci to continue to shut down the greatest economy in the world.
00:24:54.688 --> 00:24:56.794
So Trump on the issues is a mixed bag.
00:24:56.794 --> 00:25:01.585
We all know now that Trump doesn't have principles.
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He will go and say and do anything to anyone, anywhere.
00:25:05.585 --> 00:25:09.565
It's pure political opportunism.
00:25:09.565 --> 00:25:13.463
And has it turned out well for the GOP?
00:25:13.463 --> 00:25:20.954
Well, trump's greatest win is on the issue of abortion, outside of his foreign policy, which is a close second.
00:25:20.954 --> 00:25:27.830
But on the issue of abortion, trump has now abandoned that and said we need to compromise on that issue.
00:25:27.830 --> 00:25:30.247
Huh what?
00:25:30.247 --> 00:25:36.211
He appointed three Supreme Court justices to overturn Roe v Wade.
00:25:36.211 --> 00:25:39.369
He should have taken credit for that.
00:25:39.369 --> 00:25:41.035
He has taken credit for that.
00:25:41.035 --> 00:25:45.556
Now he's reversed himself and has gone completely against it.
00:25:46.830 --> 00:25:56.773
The elections of 2018 and 2020 were not great for the GOP and the expected red wave.
00:25:56.773 --> 00:26:03.354
Remember the tsunami that was supposed to come in 2022?
00:26:03.354 --> 00:26:13.585
That didn't turn out to be anything of a tsunami, other than Florida, where Florida Governor Ron DeSantis won by 19%, the largest victory ever in the governor's race in that state.
00:26:13.585 --> 00:26:16.358
He actually turned that state pure red.
00:26:16.358 --> 00:26:17.565
That used to be a 50-50 swing state.
00:26:17.565 --> 00:26:25.585
Remember the election of 2000 with hanging chats.
00:26:25.585 --> 00:26:33.103
Florida is the third most diverse state in the country, so that's a good bellwether for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
00:26:33.103 --> 00:27:00.011
Now, another good bellwether on the health of the GOP brand and, frankly, any political brand is this it is the control of state legislatures countrywide and how state legislative seats, how they're divvied up based on federal elections.
00:27:00.011 --> 00:27:18.691
So going to ballot PDF for this In 61 of the 99 state legislative chambers, the Democratic Party held more seats following the 2020 general election than it did after the general election in 2016.
00:27:19.555 --> 00:27:30.167
During President Donald Trump's term, republicans lost a net 187 state legislative seats, decreasing the party's control of seats by 3 percentage points.
00:27:30.167 --> 00:27:42.186
Now, further down we read to get some context on this Trump's presidency was the third in the 21st century, following George W Bush and Barack Obama, both of whom served for eight years.
00:27:42.186 --> 00:27:59.957
A comparison of all three presidents in their first four years in office shows that Trump lost 187 seats, and that was far lower than Obama, who lost 598 Democratic seats between 2009 and 2013.
00:27:59.957 --> 00:28:04.057
A decrease of 8 percentage points Now.
00:28:04.057 --> 00:28:18.868
During Bush 43's first four years, from 2001 to 2005, republicans gained a net 119 seats, increasing the party's control by 1 percentage point.
00:28:18.868 --> 00:28:25.075
Both Reagan and Bush 41 gained state legislative seats during their first four years.
00:28:25.075 --> 00:28:33.055
So, okay, I believe we have the answer to that question.
00:28:33.925 --> 00:28:50.326
Now, moving on to our last question, is there one particular issue where former President Trump failed miserably and where Florida Governor Ron DeSantis should be given the nod because of his great leadership and we all know that.
00:28:50.326 --> 00:28:56.834
Absolutely Most GOP voters know that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis led on the issue of COVID-19.
00:28:56.834 --> 00:28:58.949
You can read several books on this.
00:28:58.949 --> 00:29:00.452
We've covered one here.
00:29:00.452 --> 00:29:08.132
I actually covered two here in the Academy Review, plague upon our nation by Scott Atlas is by far the best book.
00:29:08.132 --> 00:29:27.048
That covers the details that President Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis at the same time were getting the same health care briefings and after April 2020, the governor began changing his direction drastically and Trump did not.
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