MM#369--Election 2024 - Spiking the Football + Weak Sauce = FREE AT LAST

0:07 Welcome to the Theory to Action podcast, where we examine the timeless treasures of wisdom from the great books in less time, to help you take action immediately and ultimately to create and lead a flourishing life. Now here's your host, david Kaiser flourishing life. Now here's your host, david Kaiser. Hello, I am David, and welcome back to another Mojo Minute. I know I said in our last podcast that that was going to be it for the election 2024 stuff, but we do have to do a little cleanup work first. We still have some open threads hanging out there and I want to put them in order and clean it all up.

0:52 So I apologize in advance for making you sit through one more election 2024 item, but I think you'll find this fruitful. But I think you'll find this fruitful. Our first order of business is the vaunted and, before this election, the much, much listened to Nostradamus of presidential elections, as he has been called before Professor, the Professor Alan Lichtman, the author of the book the 13 Keys to the Presidency, a book which we featured back in September 2024 with a title called the Very Namesake 13 Keys to the Presidency.

1:34 Check out Mojo Minute 352 for that one. Now we'll put a link in the show notes to make it easier for you. But the quick and dirty summary of that episode was that Professor Lichtman's 13 keys he outlined for the 2024 presidential election was Professor had Kamala Harris winning the 2024 election? So obviously that's a wrong answer and, yes, we know that the professor has correctly predicted nine out of 10 election outcomes since 1984.

2:19 We understand that. However, the professor was wrong. We understand that. However, the professor was wrong and Donald Trump will return to the White House as the 47th president of the United States. And yes, we don't do this often on this podcast. There should be some grace afforded to the losers, especially in this election. But, honestly, I have followed the professor's work for some 10 to 15 years and this book came out in 1984, and he had a pretty good track record of predicting elections. But again, the professor was wrong and we're going to relish that.

3:01 But again, the professor was wrong and we're going to relish that. And Donald Trump will return to the White House as the 47th president of the United States. Yes, I said that again because I want the professor to hear it. So, for all the professor's smugness, his lack of humility for the last eight years, since the presidency of Donald Trump and, frankly, ironically, he predicted Trump's 2016 victory but Professor Lichtman, for the last eight years, has just become overly smug and he really turned from his objectivity, which his 13 keys are mostly about.

3:54 I mean, he tries to demonstrate and have them be practical, these 13 keys. But once the presidency of Donald Trump the first time, the first term commenced, professor Lichtman, like we just went off the deep edge. He published in 2017 a book titled the Case for Impeachment, where he laid out multiple arguments for the impeachment of Donald Trump. So there's that you might even say maybe the professor got caught up in a case of Trump derangement syndrome. And then he even further eroded his credibility and, essentially, his lack of viewing history objectively when he wrote the Repeal of the Second Amendment in 2020, which is a book in which he argues the only way to solve US gun violence epidemic is to repeal the Second Amendment.

4:54 So talk about a guy who's lost his marbles, and this is a professor of history at American University, a guy who's going to write a book about repealing the Second Amendment. Do you understand that we've had the Second Amendment since the Bill of Rights, which is essentially about 240 plus years? Again, this is a professor of history at American University. Very, very bizarre stuff. Now, if that wasn't enough, we get another book called 13 Cracks Repairing American Democracy After Trump in 2021.

5:38 Check out this teaser from Amazon, which is all about this book. For a clear-eyed look at the state of US democracy, read the book by Alan Lichtman. That forward says takes a welcome, nonpartisan, straightforward approach. America's founders feared a president like Donald Trump. Through the Constitution and the Bill of Rights, they erected a fortified but constrained government to secure the benchmarks of our democracy and establish the guardrails designed to protect it. But Trump pushed almost every one of the framers' safeguards to its limits.

6:20 Most held, but some broke under the weight of the presidential abuses even the framers did not foresee. Whoa slow down. Yes, please pump the brakes there. Whoever wrote that, that foreword for the book? I can't stop. I can't stop laughing. What's he say here? Trump pushed almost every one of the framers safeguards to its limit. Most held, but some broke under the weight of presidential abuses. Even the framers did not receive whoa.

7:03 Slow down again. This is uh. This is too funny. This is coming from a party that once they preached about abolishing the filibuster, only a safeguard of minority right against majority role in our upper chamber, the Senate, for the last 175 years at least. Come on, folks, this is just absolutely hilarious writing. I can't stop laughing. This professor is not objective. He is not an objective, fair purveyor of history or politics.

7:48 He's just another radical professor who stays in his ivory tower and preaches to the rest of us his garbage version of what is going on around us. Um, you know, I'm sure I didn't check, uh, professor lickman's social media accounts, but I'm sure he would have said the hunter's laptop was Russian disinformation. I'm sure he would have said the mRNA vax did no harm, both proven demonstrably wrong. Hunter's laptop was Hunter's laptop. It wasn't a Russia fake mRNA vax. Harm did actually happen.

8:28 The plandemic that's another conspiracy theory that turned out probably to be right. Um, we don't know why, because professor Lickman's wonderful president, president Biden, shut that down. We still don't know what happened with Wuhan. Uh, the lockdown that really didn't serve anybody, right? Uh, sweden never locked down and had wonderful results with? Uh, the covid lockdowns. Uh, ivermectin efficacy that turned out to be right. Uh, hydroxychloroquine efficacy turned out to be right. Face mask useless yep, that absolutely turned out to be true.

9:08 Censorship via social media yep, we saw that happen all day, every day, until Elon Musk bought um Twitter. Uh, the Epstein sex Island Yep, that turns out more and more. That's coming more true. Wonder who's on that list? Bill Clinton? Um, elite pedophilia we start to see more and more of that happening. How absolutely grotesque that is. Biolabins in Ukraine Huh, wonder why Joe Biden's so interested in Ukraine, not to mention that his son had all kinds of kickbacks from Ukraine. Child trafficking Is that part of the reason they opened up the borders?

9:51 Russiagate yeah, that's all we heard, especially Alan Lichtman. Russia, russia, russia, come on man. The Steele dossier that was there too. Ukraine corruption All three of those last ones Russiagate, the Steele dossier and Ukraine corruption all happened, and you can check out Peter Schweitzer's book and you can check out Peter Schweitzer's book, because Alan Lakeman just has no absolute objectivity whatsoever. He is not a purveyor of history or politics. He shouldn't even be called a professor. He should be denounced with his tenure.

10:35 We could throw him on par with Howard Zinn, who was just another radical Marxist disguising himself as a historian. So, for all this, like I said earlier, we don't do it often on this podcast, but and yes, there should be some grace afforded to some of these folks but we are solidly, wholeheartedly, we're spiking the football, and we're spiking the football big time and Alan Lickman's face, because we have swallowed enough of his garbage for a long time. And even, furthermore, earlier this week, we went hunting for an explanation from the professor. What happened, sir? Hunting for an explanation from the professor.

11:18 What happened, sir? Why did you get it wrong on your 13 key prediction? Could you have just been blindsided with so much Trump hate that you couldn't see objectively that America was indeed changing and that the 13 keys were not adding up? A good many of them, frankly, are quite subjective, as we analyzed back in our previous Mojo Minute. But check this out. What do you know? Mr Lichtman actually did show up to offer an explanation of what happened. Here's the article. Let's read it together. Alan Lichtman, often referred to as the Nostradamus of US presidential polls, has attributed his incorrect prediction suggesting Vice President Kamala Harris would win the US election to wait for it disinformation.

12:08 And by the billionaire tech mogul Elon Musk. Please, yep, let's keep going. Lichtman renowned for his accurate forecasting of nine out of the last ten US elections. Had correctly predicted nine out of the last ten outcomes. However, last week, the historian political scientist's prediction that Kamala Harris would win the US presidential election proved incorrect, with Republican Donald Trump returning to the White House forecast citing wait for it.

12:55 Conservative media platforms and Elon Musk, who reportedly invested millions in Donald Trump's campaign, as contributing factors. Alan Lichtman also criticized Musk for amplifying disinformation online on topics such as immigration, hurricane relief and the war in Ukraine. Quote tipping the scales. As the News Nation report noted. Quote disinformation is the primary issue, lichtman stated during an appearance on the Chris Cuomo News Nation show. We've always had disinformation, but now it's reached unprecedented levels. Much of the grievances this election were fueled by it, he continued.

13:39 Scholars have shown that when truth dissolves, democracy follows. Authoritarian regimes take hold, not through force, but through the manipulation of information, as George Orwell warned in 1984, where war is, peace and famine is plenty. The basis of my system, the keys to the White House, is that a rational, pragmatic electorate assesses if the governing party deserves another four years. But when disinformation drives the electorate's view of that party, especially from individuals with immense financial influence, perhaps the foundation of the Keys needs re-evaluation.

14:28 Lichtman concluded. Professor, perhaps you are spot on, because we do think the keys need a hearty re-evaluation because they are no longer working. But disinformation, alan, no sir, no sir, you are wildly wrong there. Frankly, that is just weak sauce, my friend, very weak sauce. You are big time wrong.

15:09 The radical liberal academy that you have been part of for over the last 50 years has been lying about who the United States really is. You have fed those lies to major media who just simply regurgitate them over and over to their willing listeners, starting with Walter Cronkite way back in the day. The radicals have had the academy, then they have major media. They've had all the foundations. They've written the history books. Hell, social media. You were out there censoring people in the very beginning of our digital age. Literally, you kicked off a sitting president of the United States. That's the equivalent of shutting down major newspapers in the 19th century.

15:54 No sir, mr Lichtman, you have been part of the problem. You've been part of the extreme problem for the last 50 years. As the radicals marched through the institutions as part of the radical Marxist plan that Gramsci wanted, you were a willing accomplice. You carried the water. The fact that you could not see that viewpoint is, in fact, radical. It's so radical it's astonishing. Frankly, it's beyond astonishing Not surprising, but beyond astonishing that you would even have that thought.

16:35 Let's go back to this article because there's even more color to add. It gets even more humorous. For more than four decades, lichtman's keys to the White House model has enjoyed a strong track record of accuracy, correctly predicting each presidential winner since 1984. The 77-year-old American University professor expected Harris to win in 2024, relying on the model's indicators that favored a Democratic outcome. But Trump's decisive victory left Lichtman surprised as he live streamed his dismay alongside his son, sam.

17:17 Prediction model the 13 keys to the White House is based on 13 true or false indicators that assess conditions favoring the incumbent party. If six or more of those keys turn false, the model predicts a loss for the incumbent. The keys encompass factors like economic performance, social stability, candidate charisma, major policy achievements. Lichtman believed Harris had eight keys in her favor, while Trump fell short on several counts, pointing to a clear Democratic path to victory. In his forecast, lichtman highlighted Harris' strengths in areas like check this out.

18:05 Lichtman highlighted Harris's strengths in areas like there was no primary contest, so she got a true key for that. One of the 13, by the way, there were strong long-term economy going on. What she got a strong key for? That there were no foreign or military failures. She got a strong, true key for that. Professor Lichtman, do you remember Afghanistan? These indicators usually benefit the incumbent party when stable or positive.

18:49 Yet despite these favorable indicators, the electorate leaned unexpectedly towards Trump, leading to a decisive win. This miss by the key model underscores its limitations in capturing an increasingly unpredictable political climate. Unpredictable political climate? Well, yes, indeed it was. But the fact that Lichtman said in his forecast Harris's strengths that where there was no primary contest was a positive for her, that's just simply demonstrably wrong. She got hammered for never going through the primaries and being coordinated as joe biden's number two.

19:34 Strong long-term economy completely wrong. Inflation was at 40-year highs, mr professor, what are you thinking? Any objective looking at this after you figured out those keys would be like whoa, my model was way off. I cannot publish this. But no, you had no intellectual integrity, no foreign or military failures. Wrong again, afghanistan glaring in your face, mr Professor. All three of these were clearly wrong and, frankly, the American electorate said so and that is what matters. So in today's Mojo Minute, we are absolutely spiking the football on Alan Lichtman's 13-key prediction model.

20:22 We're calling his BS on all of it. It was just weak sauce. Even his defense of it Disinformation. That's weak sauce, very weak sauce indeed. We thank Elon Musk for allowing Twitter, or X or whatever we're calling it these days to be a vehicle for free speech and not censorship. We thank the 76 million voters who believed in Donald Trump and JD Vance as his running mate. Just one takeaway, political nugget of wisdom, as we're going to put a bow on this election after this episode.

21:02 As we're going to put a bow on this election after this episode. Quote Trump gained ground among all voters in 49 states and Washington DC in Tuesday's vote, something not seen for any party since 1992, when Bill Clinton, a Democrat, won the presidency. What did Bill Clinton do? Total triangulation. What did Bill Clinton do? Total triangulation. Ask Dick Morse about it. Bill Clinton kept intact the old New Deal coalition, as did, frankly, barack Obama did in 2008. And then it fell apart in 2012 because Barack Obama went radical. But Donald Trump made huge gains in 2024 with minority vote share among Hispanics and African-Americans, especially African-Americans, men under 45, huge, huge gains.

21:58 And so we're going to enjoy that correction made to the electorate. We're going to enjoy the correction of restoring the American government to its limited scope, hopefully ushering in a monumental shift in American politics, similar to that in 1932, but just going the other way. In 1932, fdr and that whole New Deal coalition wanted to expand government to its maximum amount, and they did Well. Now it's time to reduce the federal government to its minimal amount and I hope we do that for the next 80 years plus. We also hope to enjoy a golden age of American prosperity for all Americans, not just the elite.

22:46 We disagree with them politically, but we want all Americans to benefit from an American golden age and, frankly, we can discard those that claim that they're telling the truth from the news media and the academy. The truth is coming out Legacy and major media and, frankly, the liberal elite academy. They're all proven liars, just like Professor Alan Lichtman, so as the Martin Luther King Jr so soundly preached in his. I have a Dream speech which a large coalition of the American electorate can now sing and sing with pride From that old Negro spiritual way down yonder in the graveyard walk.

23:35 I thank God, I'm free at last, me and my Jesus going to meet and talk. I thank God, I'm free at last, jesus going to meet and talk. I thank God, I'm free at last. Free at last. Free at last. I thank God almighty, I'm free at last. Free at last to really appreciate the American Republic that was saved some two weeks ago. As always, let's keep fighting the good fight. Thank you for joining us. We hope you enjoyed this Theory to Action podcast. Be sure to check out our show page at teammojoacademycom, where we have everything we discussed in this podcast, as well as other great resources.

24:23 Until next time, keep getting your mojo on.